Balearic election poll: 58% tip PP despite PSOE lead
On Mallorca and across the Balearic Islands, 58% of people surveyed expect the People’s Party (PP) to win Spain’s general election on 29 November. Yet the Socialist Party (PSOE) leads when respondents say how they intend to vote. The Centre for Sociological Research (CIS) forecasts three to four seats in Spain’s Congress for the Balearic socialists, the PSIB-PSOE, against two to three for the PP.
The gap is clear in the voting figures: 28.3% name the PSOE, 19.4% the PP and 16.8% Vox. Ara Més-Front Ampli draws 8.7%, while 18.1% have yet to choose a party. The CIS puts Vox on course for one to two Balearic seats, with Ara Més-Front Ampli in contention for one.
Expectations tell a different story. Just 23.9% of respondents think the PSOE will win the election, while 3.6% pick Vox. The survey ran from 7 to 30 October.
Across Spain, the CIS forecasts 134 to 143 seats for the PSOE, 98 to 106 for the PP and 57 to 65 for Vox. Even at the top of both their forecast ranges, the PP and Vox would fall short of the 176 seats needed for an absolute majority. The poll is based on 45,074 telephone interviews with voters in 4,190 municipalities.
Source: Europa Press / Mallorca.com